TOP 10 BUSTS

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NBA RANKING (WIN SHARES VS. MVPs)

Like it or not, the nerds have changed how we look at sports. Thanks to sabermetricians, statistics like OPS and WAR are as recognizable as HR and RBI. Similar to WAR (wins above replacement) for baseball, WiSh (win shares) is an all-encompassing statistic for basketball. Ranked by WiSh, the Top 5 players in NBA history are: 1) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar; 2) Wilt Chamberlain; 3) Karl Malone; 4) Michael Jordan; and 5) John Stockton. Without a doubt, each one of those players is a legend of the game. As an all-time NBA ranking, however, it's just doesn't work. Alternatively, the Top 5 players ranked by total MVPs are: 1) Michael Jordan; 2) Bill Russell; 3) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar; 4) LeBron James; and 5) Wilt Chamberlain. Aaahhh, much better. Arguably, MVP awards provide a better proxy for all-time greatness than win shares. Regardless, WiSh still can be useful to establish a threshold above which a superstar can be defined. Similarly, it can determine a threshold below which a bust can be defined.
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Buster 23 mins1

NBA Draft Busts vs. Worst NBA Draft Picks

If you're simply looking for a list of well-known NBA underachievers, this post is the one you'll want to read. Specifically, I have ranked the ten worst draft picks in NBA history as follows: #10. Greg Oden (Center) - 105 games / 8.0 ppg / 6.2 rpg / 7.3 win shares #9. LaRue Martin (Center) - 271 games / 5.3 ppg / 4.6 rpg / 1.9 win shares #8. Dennis Hopson (Shooting Guard) - 334 games / 10.9 ppg / 2.8 rpg / 7.1 win shares #7. Hasheem Thabeet (Center) - 224 games / 2.4 ppg / 2.7 rpg / 4.8 win shares #6. Kwame Brown (Center) - 607 games / 6.6 ppg / 5.5 rpg / 20.0 win shares #5. Todd Fuller (Center) - 225 games / 3.7 ppg / 3.0 rpg / 2.2 win shares #4. Jon Koncak (Center) - 784 games / 4.5 ppg / 4.9 rpg / 29.2 win shares Joe Kleine (Center) - 965 games / 4.8 ppg / 4.1 rpg / 19.1 win shares #3. Michael Olowokandi (Center) - 500 games / 8.3 ppg / 6.8 rpg / 2.5 win shares #2. Darko Milicic (Center) - 468 games / 6.0 ppg / 4.2 rpg / 7.1 win shares #1. Sam Bowie (Center) - 511 games / 10.9 ppg / 7.5 rpg / 26.9 win shares In subsequent posts, I'll analyze each of these picks and describe why most of them aren't all-time busts despite their disappointing careers. Hint: the media might have something to do with it.
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Buster 16 mins1

NBA MODERN ERA (HEEERE’S MAGIC)

Do you root for players in the NBA but teams in the other Big 4 sports? Does your favorite basketball player not play for the NBA team geographically closest to you? Prior to 1980, your answers likely would have been different. However, something "magical" happened since then. In this post, I discuss the early days of the NBA Modern Era when television stations aired playoff games on tape-delay. Starting with superstars like Larry Bird and Magic Johnson, the league made a conscious decision to promote its stars more than its teams. Fortunately, players like Jordan, Kobe, and LeBron have been able to take the game to the next level. In fact, they helped drive the game's tremendous international popularity. The NFL is set, but perhaps MLB and the NHL could learn something from their younger (and smarter) brother.
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Buster 24 mins1

1991 NBA Draft Night

With respect to popularity, the NBA Draft trails only the NFL Draft as a sporting event/spectacle. As such, it seems logical to focus on the NBA for my second compilation of Top 10 Busts. Regardless, the main reason for creating this particular countdown relates to the featured image. In particular, it shows my ticket stub to the 1991 NBA Draft. To date, that draft remains the only one I have ever attended in person. While I don't provide any insight about a specific bust in this post, I offer some foreshadowing for future posts. As an enticement, there's also a link to a classic Seinfeld clip regarding political incorrectness.
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Buster 11 mins0

7 Lessons from Highly Ineffective NFL Draft Picks

When conducting my research, I noticed that many busts could be characterized by recurring themes. I have summarized these themes by presenting them as 7 Lessons from Highly Ineffective NFL Draft Picks. 1. There's no such thing as a sure thing 2. When in doubt, draft offensive linemen and avoid receivers 3. Don't reach with the pick 4. Character matters 5. Avoid players who have peaked already 6. Avoid QBs who were interception leaders in college 7. Get to camp on time Hypothetically, these NFL draft lessons can be applied going forward to help teams avoid making similar mistakes. Regardless, you can apply them when evaluating the draft decisions made by your favorite team.
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Buster 25 mins3

Ryan Leaf: #1 NFL Draft Bust

As a redshirt junior in 1997, Washington State quarterback Ryan Leaf won the Sammy Baugh Trophy as the most outstanding passer in the country. Helping his case, he led the nation in passing yards (3,968) and finished second in passing efficiency with a 158.7 rating. For as impressive as those numbers were, they seem even more impressive considering that Peyton Manning was a senior at Tennessee that year and trailed Leaf in both categories. In particular, Manning had 149 fewer yards on 67 more attempts and an efficiency rating that was 11 points lower. Returning the favor, Manning had more touchdowns (36 vs. 34) and won the Davey O'Brien Award as the most outstanding quarterback in the country. Given their success, it was no surprise when they went 1-2 in the 1998 draft. From that moment on, however, their paths diverged to the point of Manning becoming an all-time great and Leaf becoming an all-time bust. Of note, Leaf's career totals of 3,700 yards with 14 touchdowns and 36 interceptions were horrendous. In addition, he had a 4-17 record as a starter. As if things couldn't get worse, Leaf has been imprisoned for almost two years because of a drug-related crime. While certain players like JaMarcus Russell, Charles Rogers and Lawrence Phillips are all-time busts, Leaf tops them all as the worst of the worst.
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Buster 27 mins3

The Art Schlichter Effect (The Anti-Midas Touch)

According to Greek mythology, Icarus suffered a tragic fate after failing to heed his father's advice about flying too close to the sun. In particular, he fell to his death when the wax binding his wings melted from the sun's heat. Apparently, the ancient Greeks used the legend to teach about the need to avoid hubris (i.e. excessive pride). As detailed in my previous post, Art Schlichter's hubris led to his own tragic fate. In particular, he failed as an NFL player after ignoring advice about the dangers of a gambling addiction. However, unlike Icarus, Schlichter brought down not only himself but also anyone close to him. The following post references another myth by detailing the extent of Schlicter's anti-Midas touch.
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Buster 23 mins0

Art Schlichter: #2 NFL Draft Bust

Prior to Ryan Leaf and JaMarcus Russell, Art Schlichter served as the poster child for NFL Draft busts. As a starter for the Ohio State Buckeyes from 1978-81, Schlichter ranked as an NCAA leader in at least one offensive category each year. In addition, he finished 6th or higher in the Heisman voting as a sophomore, junior and senior. Despite his college success, Schlichter failed miserably as a professional. He had approximately 1,000 passing yards with three touchdowns and 11 interceptions during his 13-game NFL career. Furthermore, he never won a single game in six career starts. Adding to his bust status, Schlichter faced numerous suspensions from the NFL for excessive gambling. Never cured of his addiction, he has spent 14 of the last 20 years in prison for gambling-related crimes. With respect to being a Top 10 Bust, Schlichter has it all.
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Buster 24 mins6

JaMarcus Russell: #3 NFL Draft Bust

JaMarcus Russell certainly has the résumé to earn the top spot on anyone's all-time bust countdown. After winning the 2006 Manning Award, Russell went to the Oakland Raiders with the first pick in the 2007 NFL Draft. He clearly didn't live up to expectations given his 7-18 starting record and career totals of 4,000 yards with 18 touchdowns and 23 interceptions. Regardless, I can't rank him higher than #3 because no other quarterback taken in that draft had a successful career. For that reason, his failure seems less dramatic to me. In comparison, the top two NFL draft busts offer poor numbers and drama.
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Buster 23 mins6